Eight states shift towards the Republicans, and Donald Trump is now favored to win 268 electoral votes – two short of the 270 needed to win.
Browsing: Ratings Changes
With Arizona and Georgia now in the Republican column, a Trump win in Michigan, Pennsylvania, or Wisconsin would secure victory.
California’s primary results were unexpectedly strong for Republicans, and we’re shifting seven House districts right as a result.
While not the harsh gerrymander Democrats hoped for, new maps in New York boost Democratic odds in four districts.
Democrats are favored to flip NY-03, and six districts earn new ratings in our latest Elections Daily ratings update.
Elections Daily launches its first presidential ratings of the 2024 cycle, with 12 states ranking as competitive and six as Tossups.
In Kentucky, Democrat Andy Beshear is favored to win a second term, while Republican Tate Reeves is favored in Mississippi.
Our final Virginia legislature ratings update predicts a 21-19 Democratic advantage in the Senate and a 50-50 tie in the House of Delegates.
North Carolina Republicans passed a new congressional gerrymander that could see Republicans net three or four seats.
Joe Szymanski narrows the field in Virginia down to a handful of seats in the latest ratings update.