Welcome to the Elections Daily Poll Adjuster!
Below, you’ll be able to see how potential polling errors might affect this year’s Senate races. You can set each state’s polling bias to be whatever you want, or you can set it to be what it was in 2016, 2018, or 2020.
This tool is not meant to endorse the idea that the polls this year will be as off as they were in the past, or that readers should mentally “shift” the polling averages they see. But we do think it is useful to see how the election results might be affected if this year has similar polling error to recent cycles.