Democrats gain ground in Alaska and Pennsylvania, but are no longer favored in Maine’s competitive 2nd district.
Browsing: Ratings Changes
Strong polling for presumptive Democratic nominee Kamala Harris moves four states to the left, bringing the election back to a dead heat.
Democratic nominee Ruben Gallego has opened a firm lead on Republican retread Kari Lake, who underwhelmed in the Republican primary.
Eight states shift towards the Republicans, and Donald Trump is now favored to win 268 electoral votes – two short of the 270 needed to win.
With Arizona and Georgia now in the Republican column, a Trump win in Michigan, Pennsylvania, or Wisconsin would secure victory.
California’s primary results were unexpectedly strong for Republicans, and we’re shifting seven House districts right as a result.
While not the harsh gerrymander Democrats hoped for, new maps in New York boost Democratic odds in four districts.
Democrats are favored to flip NY-03, and six districts earn new ratings in our latest Elections Daily ratings update.
Elections Daily launches its first presidential ratings of the 2024 cycle, with 12 states ranking as competitive and six as Tossups.
In Kentucky, Democrat Andy Beshear is favored to win a second term, while Republican Tate Reeves is favored in Mississippi.