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Nevada has been known in recent history for its purple streak, seemingly reverting to broad national trends in presidential years while simultaneously administering checks down-ballot to prevailing political trends. Such characteristics have rendered the state an utter fascination to political analysts, who have often stood puzzled at Nevada’s pendular political identity.

Democrats feel confident that Republican Kris Kobach facing the Democratic front runner, State Senator Barbara Bollier, would lead to a competitive race in Kansas, but unfortunately for Democrats this is likely not the reality. Kobach is weaker than other Republicans, but there is no reason to believe that he is weak enough to lose a seat the GOP has held since 1932.