Let’s take a look towards the future and analyze the 2022 Senate races just for fun. Like all things, something could change with these races depending on what the national mood is like in 2022, but for now, at face value, this is how I rate the seats up for election.
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There is one place in the US that has been, and is likely to remain, highly underrated in it’s importance. The place I’m referring to, surprisingly, is Nebraska, and more specifically its 2nd congressional district, which has been allowed to give its single electoral vote separate from the rest of the state.
Local elections are typically dull, uninteresting affairs. For offices with minimal power, between candidates with little in the way of campaign infrastructure, very few voters usually pay attention to municipal races and often the elections end in uninteresting, low turnout landslides. Outside of New York and occasionally Chicago, elections for mayor are hardly noticed by the national media, and until recently, elections for district attorney were even less talked about. But in 2003, San Francisco was different. When the results were in, the city’s voters changed the course of modern American politics without even realizing it.
There’s been a lot of talk throughout the past year about “electability” in the Democratic primary. More Democrat voters than…
Almost all analysts believe that the “tipping point” state will be either Wisconsin or Arizona, but this narrow view of the map is short sighted. There is one state that is in the sunbelt, it’s blue trending, nearly saw a Dem breakthrough in 2018, and it’s not Texas. It’s Georgia.
Despite the recent redraw of North Carolina’s congressional maps, the state remains gerrymandered to a degree and the maps will again have to be redrawn in a few years. Using the 2016 Voting District lines from Dave’s Redistricting App, I’ve drawn a map that could be used as a baseline for the 2022 redraw.
The House of Representatives, the less formal house of Congress, always seems to have races that people decide to not…
On December 12th, 2019, the United Kingdom has an early general election where the opposition Labour Party was resoundingly defeated in favor of a Conservative majority. However, the more interesting result came from Scotland where the SNP (Scottish National Party) won a large majority of the seats to Westminster. This has raised the question about whether Scotland wanted to gain independence from the United Kingdom, or was this just a result of the first past the post system.
The politics of CA-25 change direction much like the Santa Ana winds shift through the canyons and mountain passes: warm…
For Democrats, there remains an inconvenient and harsh truth that many in the party have neglected to face: despite the increased attention the party is giving the region, there is a distinct possibility that Trump could do even better with this group in 2020.