During the midterm election of 2022, Republicans enjoyed a small advantage in the popular vote nationwide as several state elections took place. In the case of state legislative elections, thousands of elections took place in districts across the United States, with varying degrees of competitiveness. One state that produced a disparate outcome was Nevada, where Republicans won the popular vote in the Assembly elections but failed to carry most of the districts due to the Democratic gerrymander installed after the latest round of redistricting. The Nevada Democratic Party would pick up two seats in an election that saw Nevada Republicans win the Assembly vote by a shocking margin. This article will look at the districts decided by 10.00% or less.
Nevada Assembly Table Results and Elections Maps
| District | Rep | Dem | Total | RPCT | DPCT |
| 1 | 11,067 | 14,242 | 25,979 | 42.60% | 54.82% |
| 2 | 16,221 | 13,216 | 29,849 | 54.34% | 44.28% |
| 3 | 8,353 | 10,345 | 18,698 | 44.67% | 55.33% |
| 4 | 15,835 | – | 25,287 | 62.62% | -% |
| 5 | 10,330 | 12,008 | 22,710 | 45.49% | 52.88% |
| 6 | 1,843 | 8,083 | 9,926 | 18.57% | 81.43% |
| 7 | 6,421 | 11,149 | 17,570 | 36.55% | 63.45% |
| 8 | 9,042 | 11,475 | 20,517 | 44.07% | 55.93% |
| 9 | 10,710 | 12,181 | 22,891 | 46.79% | 53.21% |
| 10 | 7,155 | 9,957 | 17,112 | 41.81% | 58.19% |
| 11 | 2,227 | 6,128 | 8,355 | 26.65% | 73.35% |
| 12 | 10,066 | 10,450 | 20,516 | 49.06% | 50.94% |
| 13 | 16,288 | 13,033 | 29,321 | 55.55% | 44.45% |
| 14 | 4,242 | 8,236 | 12,478 | 34.00% | 66.00% |
| 15 | 4,556 | 7,602 | 12,158 | 37.47% | 62.53% |
| 16 | 8,198 | 9,569 | 17,767 | 46.14% | 53.86% |
| 17 | 6,027 | 11,454 | 17,481 | 34.48% | 65.52% |
| 18 | 6,804 | 10,363 | 17,167 | 39.63% | 60.37% |
| 19 | 26,274 | – | 26,274 | 100.00% | -% |
| 20 | 6,530 | 10,287 | 17,307 | 37.73% | 59.44% |
| 21 | 12,756 | 14,048 | 26,804 | 47.59% | 52.41% |
| 22 | 18,628 | 13,193 | 31,821 | 58.54% | 41.46% |
| 23 | 23,377 | 15,726 | 39,709 | 58.87% | 39.60% |
| 24 | 6,325 | 12,227 | 18,552 | 34.09% | 65.91% |
| 25 | 15,060 | 17,608 | 32,668 | 46.10% | 53.90% |
| 26 | 23,964 | 9,455 | 33,419 | 71.71% | 28.29% |
| 27 | 9,193 | 12,804 | 21,997 | 41.79% | 58.21% |
| 28 | 3,055 | 6,323 | 9,378 | 32.58% | 67.42% |
| 29 | 11,181 | 12,679 | 23,860 | 46.86% | 53.14% |
| 30 | 8,007 | 10,668 | 19,324 | 41.44% | 55.21% |
| 31 | 24,926 | – | 24,926 | 100.00% | -% |
| 32 | 22,761 | – | 22,761 | 100.00% | -% |
| 33 | 20,327 | 4,809 | 25,136 | 80.87% | 19.13% |
| 34 | 9,533 | 12,192 | 21,725 | 43.88% | 56.12% |
| 35 | 11,934 | 12,316 | 25,170 | 47.41% | 48.93% |
| 36 | 24,487 | – | 24,487 | 100.00% | -% |
| 37 | 15,011 | 15,817 | 31,328 | 47.92% | 50.49% |
| 38 | 22,828 | – | 22,828 | 100.00% | -% |
| 39 | 26,574 | 11,299 | 37,873 | 70.17% | 29.83% |
| 40 | 19,152 | 12,362 | 32,567 | 58.81% | 37.96% |
| 41 | 11,026 | 12,389 | 23,931 | 46.07% | 51.77% |
| 42 | 8,504 | 11,115 | 19,619 | 43.35% | 56.65% |
| Total | 536,798 | 406,808 | 959,246 | 55.96% | 42.41% |
| Margin | R +129,990 | R +13.55% |
Nevada State Assembly District 5
The 5th State Assembly District of Nevada is in western Clark County and leans Democratic overall. Democrats have an advantage of 4,652 voters (8.60%). The district would be likely to elect Democrats, but a Republican victory would not be out of the question in Republican wave years.
5th District Party Registration Data (As of November 2022)
| County | Republicans | R % | Democrats | D % | Total |
| Clark | 14,074 | 26.01% | 18,726 | 34.61% | 54,104 |
| Total | 14,074 | 26.01% | 18,726 | 34.61% | 54,104 |
| Margin | D +4,652 | D +8.60% |
In the 2022 primary election for Nevada’s 5th Assembly District, incumbent Democrat Brittney Miller ran unopposed in the Democratic primary, while in the Republican primary, Republican candidate Kelly Quinn emerged victorious with 1,881 votes (51.13% of the primary vote) against Alan Hedrick, who earned 1,798 votes (48.87%). Both Quinn and Miller advanced to the general election where they would face off in November. A Libertarian candidate, Ronald Morgan, also advanced to the general election.
5th District Election Data (In November Election)
| County | Quinn | Quinn % | Miller | Miller % | Total |
| Clark | 10,330 | 45.49% | 12,008 | 52.88% | 22,710 |
| Total | 10,330 | 45.49% | 12,008 | 52.88% | 22,710 |
| Margin | D +1,678 | D +7.39% |
In the general election, the incumbent Democrat Miller won a convincing victory over the Republican challenger Quinn. Miller won the district by a margin of 1,678 votes (7.39%). With the close margin and potential shift in voting coalitions in Nevada, this seat will likely be a Republican target seat in 2024.
Nevada State Assembly District 9
The 9th State Assembly District of Nevada is in south-western Clark County and is a narrowly Democratic leaning district. Democrats had a voter registration edge of 3,569 voters (6.70%). The seat would be at risk of takeover in a Republican election year.
9th District Party Registration Data (As of November 2022)
| County | Republicans | R % | Democrats | D % | 3rd Party | Total |
| Clark | 13,904 | 26.09% | 17,473 | 32.79% | 21,912 | 53,289 |
| Total | 13,904 | 26.09% | 17,473 | 32.79% | 21,912 | 53,289 |
| Margin | D +3,569 | D +6.70% |
In the 2022 primary elections for Nevada’s 9th State Assembly district, incumbent Democrat Steve Yeager ran for re-election and went unopposed in the Democratic primary. In the Republican primary, Republican candidate Ryan Patrick Fleming won the primary with 1,949 votes (58.51%), while John Gonzalez, the other Republican candidate, took 1,382 votes (41.49%). Both Yeager and Fleming advanced to the general election in November.
9th District Election Data (In November Election)
| County | Fleming | Fleming % | Yeager | Yeager % | Total |
| Clark | 10,710 | 46.79% | 12,181 | 53.21% | 22,891 |
| Total | 10,710 | 46.79% | 12,181 | 53.21% | 22,891 |
| Margin | D +1,471 | D +6.42% |
In the general election, Democratic incumbent Yeager won a narrow but convincing victory over Republican candidate Fleming by a margin of 1,471 votes (6.42%). The seat will likely by a Republican target in the 2024 elections as it is on the reaches of the battleground.
Nevada State Assembly District 12
The 12th State Assembly District of Nevada is in eastern Clark County and is a solidly Democratic leaning district. Democrats have a voter registration edge of 6,254 voters (12.46%). The district would be likely to vote for Democrats in most elections, although if Democratic turnout cratered, a Republican surprise victory would not be out of the question. This is almost what happened in 2022.
12th District Party Registration Data (As of November 2022)
| County | Republicans | R % | Democrats | D % | 3rd Party | Total |
| Clark | 12,532 | 24.97% | 18,786 | 37.43% | 18,871 | 50,189 |
| Total | 12,532 | 24.97% | 18,786 | 37.43% | 18,871 | 50,189 |
| Margin | D +6,254 | D +12.46% |
In the 2022 primary elections for the 12th State Assembly District, the seat experienced an open seat election. In the Democratic primary, Max Carter won the Democratic nomination with 1,773 votes (52.96%), while two other candidates, Angelo Casino and Abraham Camejo, came in second and third respectively with 791 and 784 votes (23.63% and 23.42%). In the Republican primary, Flemming Larsen won the primary with 1,702 votes (46.39%). The other Republican candidates took 1,967 votes (53.61%). Both Carter and Larsen advanced to the general election in November.
12th District Election Data (In November Election)
| County | Flemming | Flemming % | Carter | Carter % | Total |
| Clark | 10,066 | 49.06% | 10,450 | 50.94% | 20,516 |
| Total | 10,066 | 49.06% | 10,450 | 50.94% | 20,516 |
| Margin | D +384 | D +1.88% |
After the general election, it became clear that the result was a very narrow victory for the Democrat, Carter. Carter won the district by a slim margin of just 384 votes (1.88%). Carter underperformed the district’s Democratic voter registration advantage, likely putting the district on Nevada Republican’s 2024 plans.
Nevada State Assembly District 16
The 16th State Assembly District of Nevada is in south-central Clark County and is a moderately Democratic leaning district. Democrats enjoy an 14-point edge over Republicans in the district. As with the 12th district, if Democratic turnout craters, Republicans might have a chance at picking up the seat in a midterm election year under a Democratic president.
16th District Party Registration Data (As of November 2022)
| County | Republicans | R % | Democrats | D % | 3rd Party | Total |
| Clark | 11,396 | 22.62% | 18,191 | 36.10% | 20,798 | 50,385 |
| Total | 11,396 | 22.62% | 18,191 | 36.10% | 20,798 | 50,385 |
| Margin | D +6,795 | D +13.48% |
In the 2022 primary elections for the 16th State Assembly District, Cecelia González ran for re-election, facing off against Chuck Short in the Democratic primary. González won the primary with 2,085 votes (67.76%), while Short garnered 992 (32.24%). In the Republican primary, Jesse Holder won the Republican primary with 1,233 votes (49.48%), while the other two Republicans running, Greg Van Houten and Benjamin Donlon, earned 673 and 586 votes (27.01% and 23.52%) respectively. Both González and Holder advanced to the November general election.
16th District Election Data (In November Election)
| County | Holder | Holder % | González | González % | Total |
| Clark | 8,198 | 46.14% | 9,569 | 53.86% | 17,767 |
| Total | 8,198 | 46.14% | 9,569 | 53.86% | 17,767 |
| Margin | D +1,371 | D +7.72% |
After the votes were recorded, Democratic incumbent González won a convincing victory over Republican challenger Holder. González won the district by a margin of 1,371 votes (7.72%). As the Democratic voter registration edge is large, González, should she follow up on a for re-election, would be favored against the eventual Republican nominee.
Nevada State Assembly District 21
The 21st State Assembly District of Nevada is in southern Clark County and is a narrowly Democratic leaning district. Democrats enjoy a slight 2,858 vote (4.98%) edge voter registration edge over Republicans.
21st District Party Registration Data (As of November 2022)
| County | Republicans | R % | Democrats | D % | 3rd Party | Total |
| Clark | 16,232 | 28.24% | 19,090 | 33.22% | 22,147 | 57,469 |
| Total | 16,232 | 28.24% | 19,090 | 33.22% | 22,147 | 57,469 |
| Margin | D +2,858 | D +4.98% |
In the primary elections for the 21st State Assembly District, incumbent Democrat Elaine Marzola ran for re-election, running uncontested in her primary. On the Republican side, Jon S. Petrick won the primary with 3,112 votes (68.22%), while the two other Republicans in the primary, Ron Quilang and Rachel Puaina, took 933 and 517 votes (20.45% and 11.33%). Both Marzola and Petrick advanced to the November general election.
21st District Election Data (In November Election)
| County | Petrick | Petrick % | Marzola | Marzola % | Total |
| Clark | 12,756 | 47.59% | 14,048 | 52.41% | 26,804 |
| Total | 12,756 | 47.59% | 14,048 | 52.41% | 26,804 |
| Margin | D +1,292 | D +4.82% |
After the votes were cast and recorded, the Democratic incumbent, Marzola, won a narrow victory over Republican challenger Petrick. Marzola won the district by 1,292 votes (4.82%). The district will likely see a competitive 2024 election.
Nevada State Assembly District 25
The 25th State Assembly District of Nevada is in southern Washoe County and is a slightly Democratic leaning district. Democrats have a voter registration edge of 1,524 voters (2.75%). This makes it one of the more marginal Democratic-leaning districts in the state.
25th District Party Registration Data (As of November 2022)
| County | Republicans | R % | Democrats | D % | 3rd Party | Total |
| Washoe | 17,688 | 31.83% | 19,212 | 34.58% | 18,664 | 55,564 |
| Total | 17,688 | 31.83% | 19,212 | 34.58% | 18,664 | 55,564 |
| Margin | D +1,524 | D +2.75% |
In the 2022 primary elections for the district, which was an open seat election, Democratic candidate Selena La Rue Hatch won the Democratic primary with 4,493 voters (64.88%) over Alex Goff, who earned 2,432 voters (35.12%). In the Republican primary, Sam Kumar won the Republican nomination with 4,052 voter (56.15%), while two other candidates, Jacob Williams and Greg Batchelder, took 2,199 (30.47%) and 966 (13.39%) votes, respectively. Both La Rue Hatch and Kumar advanced to the general election in November.
25th District Election Data (In November Election)
| County | Kumar | Kumar % | La Rue Hatch | La Rue Hatch % | Total |
| Washoe | 15,060 | 46.10% | 17,608 | 53.90% | 32,668 |
| Total | 15,060 | 46.10% | 17,608 | 53.90% | 32,668 |
| Margin | D +2,548 | D +7.80% |
In the general election, La Rue Hatch won the district by a convincing margin, outperforming the Democratic registration advantage. La Rue Hatch won the district by a margin of 2,548 votes (7.80%).
Nevada State Assembly District 29
The 29th State Assembly District of Nevada is in eastern Clark County and is a narrowly Democratic leaning district. Democrats enjoyed a large 4,112 voter edge in the district, a margin of 7.16%. The district would normally elect Democrats, although Republicans might have a chance if Democratic turnout craters.
29th District Party Registration Data (As of November 2022)
| County | Republicans | R % | Democrats | D % | 3rd Party | Total |
| Clark | 15,175 | 26.44% | 19,287 | 33.60% | 22,934 | 57,396 |
| Total | 15,175 | 26.44% | 19,287 | 33.60% | 22,934 | 57,396 |
| Margin | D +4,112 | D +7.16% |
In the 2022 primary elections for the district, Democratic incumbent Lesley Elizabeth Cohen ran for re-election. Cohen won the Democratic primary with 3,098 votes (69.79%), while Joe Dalia, the other Democratic candidate, took 1,341 votes (30.21%). In the Republican primary, Rhonda Knightly won the primary with 1,854 votes (51.00%), while Natalie Thomas took 1,781 votes (49.00%). Both Cohen and Knightly advanced to the November general election.
29th District Election Data (In November Election)
| County | Knightly | Knightly % | Cohen | Cohen % | Total |
| Clark | 11,181 | 46.86% | 12,679 | 53.14% | 23,860 |
| Total | 11,181 | 46.86% | 12,679 | 53.14% | 23,860 |
| Margin | D +1,498 | D +6.28% |
In the general election, Cohen won a convincing victory over Knightly, winning the district by a margin of 1,498 votes (6.28%). The district will likely be on the reaches of the competitive battlefield in the 2024 elections.
Nevada State Assembly District 35
The 35th State Assembly District of Nevada is in southwestern Clark County and is a marginally Democratic leaning district. Democrats enjoyed a 1,827 voter (3.36%) edge in the district. The third party and unaffiliated voters make up a plurality of the district. The district could see a Republican takeover in a favorable political environment to Republicans.
35th District Party Registration Data (As of November 2022)
| County | Republicans | R % | Democrats | D % | 3rd Party | Total |
| Clark | 15,547 | 28.58% | 17,374 | 31.94% | 21,475 | 54,396 |
| Total | 15,547 | 28.58% | 17,374 | 31.94% | 21,475 | 54,396 |
| Margin | D +1,827 | D +3.36% |
In the 2022 primary elections for the 35th District, Democratic incumbent Michelle Gorelow ran for re-election, running unopposed in the Democratic primary. In the Republican primary, Tiffany Jones won the Republican nomination with 2,453 votes (66.59%) against Julie Connors, who took 1,231 votes (33.41%). Both Gorelow and Jones advanced to the November general election, with a Libertarian candidate, Mindy Robinson, also advancing.
35th District Election Data (In November Election)
| County | Jones | Jones % | Gorelow | Gorelow % | Total |
| Clark | 11,934 | 47.41% | 12,316 | 48.93% | 25,170 |
| Total | 11,934 | 47.41% | 12,316 | 48.93% | 25,170 |
| Margin | D +382 | D +1.52% |
In the general election, Democratic incumbent Gorelow won an extremely narrow victory over Republican challenger Jones. Gorelow won the district by just 920 votes (1.52%). Neither candidate won a majority of votes due to the presence of a third-party candidate.
Nevada State Assembly District 37
The 37th State Assembly District of Nevada is in northwestern Clark County and is a marginally Democratic leaning district. Democrats enjoyed a narrow edge of 1,949 voters (3.71%). The district is competitive in most election years, so a Republican takeover was not out of the question.
37th District Party Registration Data (As of November 2022)
| County | Republicans | R % | Democrats | D % | 3rd Party | Total |
| Clark | 18,636 | 30.70% | 20,585 | 33.91% | 21,475 | 60,696 |
| Total | 18,636 | 30.70% | 20,585 | 33.91% | 21,475 | 60,696 |
| Margin | D +1,949 | D +3.71% |
In the 2022 primary elections for the 37th district, the district experienced an open seat election. In the Democratic primary, Democratic candidate Shea Backus ran unopposed, while in the Republican primary, Jacob Deaville won the Republican nomination with 3,291 votes (49.10%), with two other candidates, Al Hansen and David Flippo, taking 1,716 (25.60%) and 1,696 (25.30%) votes. Both Backus and Deaville advanced to the November general election, with a Libertarian candidate, Marc Tedoff, advancing as well.
37th District Election Data (In November Election)
| County | Deaville | Deaville % | Backus | Backus % | Total |
| Clark | 15,011 | 47.92% | 15,817 | 50.49% | 31,328 |
| Total | 15,011 | 47.92% | 15,817 | 50.49% | 31,328 |
| Margin | D +806 | D +2.57% |
In the general election, Democratic candidate Backus won a narrow victory over Republican candidate Deaville, winning by just 806 votes (2.57%). This will likely be a Republican target in 2024.
Nevada State Assembly District 41
The 41st State Assembly District of Nevada is in southern Clark County and is a narrowly Democratic leaning district. Democrats enjoy an edge of 3,795 voters (6.72%) in the district.
41st District Party Registration Data (As of November 2022)
| County | Republicans | R % | Democrats | D % | 3rd Party | Total |
| Clark | 14,914 | 26.38% | 18,709 | 33.10% | 22,905 | 56,528 |
| Total | 14,914 | 26.38% | 18,709 | 33.10% | 22,905 | 56,528 |
| Margin | D +3,795 | D +6.72% |
In the 2022 primary elections for the 41st State Assembly District, incumbent Democrat Sandra Jauregui ran for re-election, running unopposed in the Democratic primary. In the Republican primary, Paul Bodine won the Republican nomination with 1,799 votes (55.12%), while three other Republican candidates combined for 1,465 votes (44.88%). Both Jauregui and Bodine advanced to the general election, with a Libertarian candidate, Sean McNamara, also advancing.
41st District Election Data (In November Election)
| County | Bodine | Bodine % | Jauregui | Jauregui % | Total |
| Clark | 11,026 | 46.07% | 12,389 | 51.77% | 23,931 |
| Total | 11,026 | 46.07% | 12,389 | 51.77% | 23,931 |
| Margin | D +1,363 | D +5.70% |
In the general election, the incumbent Democrat won the district by 1,363 votes (5.70%). This seat will likely be on the reaches of the 2024 battlefield.